Monday, January 6, 2020

Sunny Day and climate change


It is a beautiful first Monday of the decade here. Sunny and 70 degrees with light winds. The weeds are growing quite well. The grass is still dormant. Candi is transplanting flowers that have jumped their beds and into the grass. She has bluebonnets growing and several starting to bloom. We can only hope that we do not have another freeze this Spring. But wait, Spring is far off, and Winter has just begun. 

I accept that the planet may be experiencing global warming, but how much variation can be blamed on global warming and how much is just normal variance. It seems the problem is not that we cannot make calculations, but that we have too little data on which to base the calculations. We have semi-accurate weather data for the last 100 years, ok, maybe 150 years, and I won’t give you 200 years. Recorded history is several millennia. I would suggest that our sample is too small. The question many have asked is, “do we have enough time to wait and do nothing while we gather data? If we believe that the weather patterns we see are normal variations, the answer is yes, let’s wait and see. If we are on the cusp of change that we cannot retreat from, the answer is no, we must act now. If we respond to reduce the possibility of climate change and we find out that what we have experienced is normal variation, no harm, no foul. If we were correct, and what we are experiencing is on the cusp of no return, we acted correctly. Therefore, there is only one right action, and that is to work to stop climate change now, today, no wait. Logically, it looks like an easy choice. So what are we waiting for, debating, denying?

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